Latest update
$391
Updated: Jul 16, 2026, 8:48 PM UTC
Browsing public data
Tesla, Inc. operates in electric vehicles and energy generation/storage, showing strong top-line growth but declining profitability and efficiency metrics. While revenue grows, net income and free cash flow indicate some recent fluctuations. Valuation remains stretched based on current earnings. The company maintains a strong balance sheet with light debt and robust debt service capacity, but shareholder returns via cash yield are very low due to high valuation relative to FCF.
Revenue
The total dollars the company billed customers. When this number grows quarter after quarter, the business is finding more demand.
Latest
↓$22.4B
Q1 2026
The most recent reported figure, in the company's own currency and reporting cadence.
QoQ
↓-10.1%
vs Q4 2025
How much this quarter grew compared to last quarter. Useful for spotting acceleration or slowdown in real time.
YoY
↑+15.8%
vs Q1 2025
How much this quarter grew compared to the same quarter one year ago. Strips out seasonality — a slow holiday quarter looks worse QoQ but normal YoY.
CAGR
•—
insufficient history
The smooth yearly growth rate that gets you from the starting value to the current value. A 100% CAGR over 3 years means the business tripled, on average, each year.
Net income
What's left from revenue after paying every cost — employees, materials, taxes, interest. Sometimes called profit or 'the bottom line.'
Latest
↓$477M
Q1 2026
The most recent reported figure, in the company's own currency and reporting cadence.
QoQ
↓-43.2%
vs Q4 2025
How much this quarter grew compared to last quarter. Useful for spotting acceleration or slowdown in real time.
YoY
↑+16.6%
vs Q1 2025
How much this quarter grew compared to the same quarter one year ago. Strips out seasonality — a slow holiday quarter looks worse QoQ but normal YoY.
CAGR
•—
insufficient history
The smooth yearly growth rate that gets you from the starting value to the current value. A 100% CAGR over 3 years means the business tripled, on average, each year.
Free cash flow
The cash actually left in the bank after the company has paid for everything and reinvested in itself. Harder to fake than net income.
Latest
↑$1.4B
Q1 2026
The most recent reported figure, in the company's own currency and reporting cadence.
QoQ
→+1.7%
vs Q4 2025
How much this quarter grew compared to last quarter. Useful for spotting acceleration or slowdown in real time.
YoY
↑+117.5%
vs Q1 2025
How much this quarter grew compared to the same quarter one year ago. Strips out seasonality — a slow holiday quarter looks worse QoQ but normal YoY.
CAGR
•—
insufficient history
The smooth yearly growth rate that gets you from the starting value to the current value. A 100% CAGR over 3 years means the business tripled, on average, each year.
| Metric | 3 yr | 2 yr | 1 yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | — | +15.8% $19.3B→$22.4B |
| Net income | — | — | +16.6% $409M→$477M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | +117.6% $664M→$1.4B |
P/E TTM
↑355.5×
Trailing twelve months. Today's price divided by the last year of actual earnings.
P/E NTM
↑153.1×
Next twelve months. Today's price divided by what analysts expect the company to earn over the coming year.
Profitability
↓Weak
Operating margin (and the wider return profile) tells you how efficiently each dollar of sales becomes profit. High and rising = pricing power; low or falling = the business is grinding.
Share count
→Stable
Are the buybacks outrunning the stock-based comp? A shrinking share count means every existing share owns a bigger slice of future earnings.
Debt load
↑Light
Total debt against cash and earnings power (EBITDA). Light debt leaves room to invest and weather downturns; heavy debt shrinks the margin for error.
Debt service
↑Strong
Whether the cash the business generates easily covers its interest and loan payments. Strong here = no forced selling in a bad year.
Cash return at today's price
↓0.4%
Free cash flow divided by market cap — the cash yield you're getting for the price you pay. Above ~6% is rich, below ~3% is thin. P/E shown when the yield is too small to be useful.
Despite the long-term bullish outlook for Tesla, the immediate technical setup is challenged. The stock is below key moving averages, volume is low, and an earnings report is imminent, creating high event risk. Given these factors, waiting for post-earnings clarity and a stronger setup above tactical support is the most sensible approach to manage risk and entry timing.
Short-term thesis
Tesla's long-term investment case hinges on its evolution from a dominant EV manufacturer to a diversified leader in AI-driven software (FSD) and renewable energy solutions. While current automotive margins are pressured, future value will be unlocked by scaling high-margin FSD, expanding energy services, and leveraging mega-factory efficiencies. The market seems to be front-running this transition, pricing in significant future opportunities despite current mild financial headwinds.
Long-term exposure
Maybe own
There is a case here, but one sleeve still needs work.
Entry window
Wait
Tesla's price continues to show weakness, lingering below important moving averages with contracting volume. With earnings approaching rapidly, the risk of volatility is high. It's prudent to remain on the sidelines this week, waiting for the earnings event to pass and for the stock to establish a clearer direction or consolidate above supportive levels.
Risk check
Fragile
The downside can widen quickly if this setup goes wrong.
Alignment
Mixed
Neither horizon fully wins, so size and patience matter.
What supports it
What limits it
Long-term thesis
The transition to a fully integrated AI-driven mobility and sustainable energy ecosystem.
Bottleneck Role
Tesla's bottleneck is its ability to scale high-margin offerings (FSD, energy services) while simultaneously maintaining its dominant position in a competitive, capital-intensive auto market. Mega-factory scale-out for cost efficiency and advanced AI development for FSD are critical enablers to overcome this.
Consensus Blind Spot
The market may be underestimating the long-term, high-margin, recurring revenue potential from FSD and energy services by over-indexing on current automotive profitability pressures. It also might not fully grasp the operational leverage from mega-factory production at scale.
Demand Gap
There is a significant and growing global demand for sustainable transportation and energy solutions that are integrated, intelligent, and scalable. Tesla is uniquely positioned to bridge this gap through its diverse product ecosystem.
Demand to Equity Scenarios
Slower EV adoption, FSD regulatory roadblocks, intense competition.
Demand
-30%
Earnings
-30%
Equity implication
-40%
Reduced unit sales, lower FSD uptake, margin erosion.
Steady EV growth, gradual FSD rollout, moderate energy adoption.
Demand
+15%
Earnings
+15%
Equity implication
+25%
Consistent revenue from EV, incremental FSD/energy growth.
Rapid global EV switch, FSD achieves full autonomy, energy grid integration accelerated.
Demand
+80%
Earnings
+80%
Equity implication
+120%
Exponential growth in EV sales, widespread FSD subscription, robust energy segment expansion.
Dependency Chain
Repricing Triggers
Must be true
Thesis broken if
What changed
Signal
Conviction
Long term
Stock
Added since last run
7No longer flagged
0Nothing dropped this run
The prior reasoning about waiting for clearer signs of stabilization or a rebound was accurate. The stock has indeed shown minimal price movement, failing to reclaim key thresholds and confirming that immediate entry was not warranted.
Jul 16, 2026
LatestUpdated Jul 16, 2026, 8:48 PM UTC
Price at review
$391
Tesla's price continues to show weakness, lingering below important moving averages with contracting volume. With earnings approaching rapidly, the risk of volatility is high. It's prudent to remain on the sidelines this week, waiting for the earnings event to pass and for the stock to establish a clearer direction or consolidate above supportive levels.
Jun 17, 2026
Updated Jun 17, 2026, 2:25 PM UTC
Price at review
$402
The stock is currently trading slightly below key moving averages, indicating a loss of the precise support seen last week. Volume is contracting, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from either buyers or sellers. Given the recent dip below the prior accumulation zone and mixed technicals, it's prudent to wait for clearer signs of stabilization or a rebound above the moving averages before deploying new capital.
Jun 9, 2026
Updated Jun 9, 2026, 1:15 PM UTC
Price at review
$409
Expect the price to stabilize further and begin a gradual climb as buyers step in at these reset levels.
Jun 2, 2026
Updated Jun 2, 2026, 9:01 AM UTC
Price at review
$416
Price has returned to a logical buying zone after a necessary pause.
May 13, 2026
Updated May 13, 2026, 5:33 PM UTC
Price at review
$448
The stock is currently showing strong upward momentum but has moved too far, too fast above its average price. Waiting for a brief cooling-off period is safer than chasing at these highs.
Jan 21, 1970
Updated Apr 27, 2026, 10:28 PM UTC
Price at review
$379
Price sits $37 below weekly 21 EMA with declining volume and negative relative strength vs. SPY, suggesting distribution continues after the failed April breakout. Daily 21 EMA at $377 is the last near-term support; a close below risks accelerating markdown toward $340-350.