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NVTS
NVTS
Navitas Semiconductor Corporati

Latest update

$22.21

Updated: Jun 12, 2026, 9:58 AM UTC

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Metrics

Navitas Semiconductor: A GaN/SiC Play with Mixed Financials

Navitas Semiconductor designs and markets Gallium Nitride (GaN) and Silicon Carbide (SiC) power semiconductors for diverse markets including automotive, data centers, mobile, and consumer electronics. The company is experiencing growth in sales and free cash flow on a sequential basis, though year-over-year revenue is down significantly. Profitability remains weak with negative operating margins and earnings, while the company maintains a strong balance sheet and robust debt service capacity. Shareholder dilution is a concern as Navitas issues shares.

Growth pace
How fast the underlying business is moving, quarter by quarter. Hover any tile for the plain-English meaning.

Revenue

The total dollars the company billed customers. When this number grows quarter after quarter, the business is finding more demand.

quarterly

Latest

$8.6M

Q1 2026

The most recent reported figure, in the company's own currency and reporting cadence.

QoQ

+17.8%

vs Q4 2025

How much this quarter grew compared to last quarter. Useful for spotting acceleration or slowdown in real time.

YoY

-38.7%

vs Q1 2025

How much this quarter grew compared to the same quarter one year ago. Strips out seasonality — a slow holiday quarter looks worse QoQ but normal YoY.

CAGR

insufficient history

The smooth yearly growth rate that gets you from the starting value to the current value. A 100% CAGR over 3 years means the business tripled, on average, each year.

Net income

What's left from revenue after paying every cost — employees, materials, taxes, interest. Sometimes called profit or 'the bottom line.'

quarterly

Latest

-$33.8M

Q1 2026

The most recent reported figure, in the company's own currency and reporting cadence.

QoQ

vs Q4 2025

How much this quarter grew compared to last quarter. Useful for spotting acceleration or slowdown in real time.

YoY

vs Q1 2025

How much this quarter grew compared to the same quarter one year ago. Strips out seasonality — a slow holiday quarter looks worse QoQ but normal YoY.

CAGR

insufficient history

The smooth yearly growth rate that gets you from the starting value to the current value. A 100% CAGR over 3 years means the business tripled, on average, each year.

Free cash flow

The cash actually left in the bank after the company has paid for everything and reinvested in itself. Harder to fake than net income.

quarterly

Latest

-$16.8M

Q1 2026

The most recent reported figure, in the company's own currency and reporting cadence.

QoQ

vs Q4 2025

How much this quarter grew compared to last quarter. Useful for spotting acceleration or slowdown in real time.

YoY

vs Q1 2025

How much this quarter grew compared to the same quarter one year ago. Strips out seasonality — a slow holiday quarter looks worse QoQ but normal YoY.

CAGR

insufficient history

The smooth yearly growth rate that gets you from the starting value to the current value. A 100% CAGR over 3 years means the business tripled, on average, each year.

Quarterly revenue, net income & free cash flow
Bars show what the company actually reported each quarter. The growth chart below turns these into the QoQ / YoY pace the rest of this page uses.
Annual growth rate (YoY)
Year-over-year change in full-year totals. Strips out quarterly noise and seasonality so the multi-year trend is visible — not just the last 12 months.
Compound annual growth (CAGR)
The smooth yearly growth rate across each window. The "start → end" line shows the dollar value at the beginning and end of the window.
Metric3 yr2 yr1 yr
Revenue
-38.7%
$14M$8.6M
Net income
Free cash flow
Valuation — P/E

P/E TTM

Trailing twelve months. Today's price divided by the last year of actual earnings.

P/E NTM

-160.3×

Next twelve months. Today's price divided by what analysts expect the company to earn over the coming year.

Balance sheet & valuation
The five numbers that decide whether the growth above is safe, sustainable, and reasonably priced. Descriptions on every tile — hover or scroll to read.

Profitability

Weak

Operating margin (and the wider return profile) tells you how efficiently each dollar of sales becomes profit. High and rising = pricing power; low or falling = the business is grinding.

Share count

Diluting

Are the buybacks outrunning the stock-based comp? A shrinking share count means every existing share owns a bigger slice of future earnings.

Debt load

Light

Total debt against cash and earnings power (EBITDA). Light debt leaves room to invest and weather downturns; heavy debt shrinks the margin for error.

Debt service

Strong

Whether the cash the business generates easily covers its interest and loan payments. Strong here = no forced selling in a bad year.

Cash return at today's price

0.8%

Free cash flow divided by market cap — the cash yield you're getting for the price you pay. Above ~6% is rich, below ~3% is thin. P/E shown when the yield is too small to be useful.

What stands out
  • Navitas Semiconductor is focused on GaN and SiC power semiconductors for various high-growth applications.
  • The company's quarterly revenue and free cash flow are increasing sequentially, but year-over-year revenue shows a significant decline (-38.7%).
  • Profitability is currently weak, characterized by negative operating margins and net income.
  • The balance sheet is strong with light debt and robust debt service coverage.
  • Shareholder dilution from increasing share count is occurring.

Thesis

Why this read

The stock has undergone a significant correction since the last SELL call, bringing it closer to more sustainable levels relative to its weekly average. However, it is still trading below the daily average, and volume is contracting, indicating a lack of immediate buying interest. While the long-term thematic remains compelling, the absence of clear short-term catalysts or a decisive price rebound suggests waiting for better technical confirmation or clearer evidence of a bottom before re-engaging.

Short-term thesis

Mixed55% conviction-15 ptsv1
Navitas: A Long-Term Play on Power Efficiency Despite Near-Term Profitability Challenges

Navitas Semiconductor presents a long-term investment opportunity driven by the accelerating demand for energy-efficient power solutions in AI, EVs, and consumer electronics due to its leading GaN and SiC technologies. While current profitability and shareholder dilution are significant concerns, the company's strong balance sheet and sequential revenue growth suggest it can weather its operational ramp-up. The recent correction offers a better entry point for patient investors, but further evidence of margin improvement and reduced dilution is needed to increase confidence. The thesis is that escalating power demands create a bottleneck that Navitas's technology is uniquely positioned to solve, eventually leading to strong revenue growth and profitability.

Long-term exposure

Maybe own

There is a case here, but one sleeve still needs work.

Entry window

Wait

After a substantial decline, the stock is showing signs of stabilizing above the weekly average, but remains below the daily average. While the immediate sharp markdown has eased, significant short-term bullish momentum is absent. It's prudent to observe for clearer signs of accumulation before considering a long position.

Risk check

Fragile

The downside can widen quickly if this setup goes wrong.

Alignment

Mixed

The company's technology is directly aligned with the mega-trends of power efficiency and sustainability. However, the continued share dilution indicates that existing shareholders are bearing the cost of growth and R&D, which misaligns with long-term shareholder value creation.

What supports it

  • Price still looks reasonable against the business.
  • Balance sheet gives the thesis room to breathe.
  • Debt service still looks controlled against cash generation.
  • The stock is leading the broad market by 5.5 points over the past month.

What limits it

  • This needs smaller size or more patience.
  • Margins or returns are too soft for a clean long hold.
  • Share count has been rising, which can cap per-share gains.
  • One sleeve still needs more evidence.

Long-term thesis

The transition to highly efficient GaN and SiC power semiconductors in high-demand applications like AI data centers, electric vehicles, and fast charging.

75opportunity70% thesis conf
Crossing Chasm5y horizon

Bottleneck Role

Navitas acts as a critical component supplier addressing the bottleneck of inefficient power conversion and the need for higher power density in next-generation electronic systems. Traditional silicon-based power solutions are reaching their performance limits, creating a scarcity for more advanced materials like GaN and SiC.

Consensus Blind Spot

The market may be underestimating the pace of adoption and the total addressable market expansion for GaN/SiC, particularly in nascent areas like automotive and high-power AI infrastructure. While current financials are weak, they don't fully reflect the future demand curve for these essential components.

Demand Gap

There is a growing gap between the increasing power demands of new technologies (e.g., AI servers, faster EV charging) and the limitations of traditional silicon-based power solutions. This creates a significant demand for high-performance, compact, and energy-efficient power semiconductors.

Demand to Equity Scenarios

Bear70% conf

Slower-than-expected adoption of GaN/SiC, intense competition, or a broader economic downturn impacting EV and data center investments.

Demand

-15%

Earnings

-50%

Equity implication

-40%

Reduced order volumes, pricing pressure, and continued operational losses.

Base80% conf

Steady growth in GaN/SiC adoption, market share gains in key segments, and gradual improvement in operating leverage.

Demand

+20%

Earnings

+25%

Equity implication

+30%

Consistent revenue growth, improving gross margins, but slower path to net profitability.

Bull60% conf

Rapid acceleration of AI data center build-outs, faster EV penetration, and significant design wins leading to economies of scale and strong pricing power.

Demand

+40%

Earnings

+75%

Equity implication

+60%

Outsized revenue growth, rapid scaling to profitability, and significant market share expansion.

Dependency Chain

  1. 1Increased global energy demand / Data center AI acceleration
  2. 2Need for higher power density and efficiency
  3. 3Demand for advanced power semiconductors (GaN, SiC)
  4. 4Navitas Semiconductor's product adoption
  5. 5Revenue growth and eventual profitability

Repricing Triggers

  • Consistent quarter-over-quarter revenue acceleration.
  • Clear pathway to positive gross and operating margins, with guidance forecasting profitability.
  • Major design wins with tier-one automotive or data center customers.
  • Acquisition news or strategic partnerships that validate technology and market position.
  • Reduced share dilution and improving free cash flow.
  • Positive analyst revisions and increased price targets.

Must be true

  • Demand for GaN/SiC will continue to grow strongly, outstripping alternative technologies.
  • Navitas can successfully ramp production and improve manufacturing efficiency.
  • The competitive landscape will allow Navitas to maintain or grow market share and pricing power.
  • Operating expenses will be managed effectively as revenue scales to achieve profitability.

Thesis broken if

  • Ongoing revenue deceleration or loss of market share.
  • Failure to improve gross margins and achieve positive operating income.
  • Increased competition leading to significant pricing pressure.
  • Persistent and accelerated share dilution without meaningful growth in earnings per share.
  • Technological obsolescence or emergence of superior alternative power solutions.

History

What changed

Since the previous run · 1 month ago
Prior call was right

Signal

SELLSELL

Conviction

0.75%70%+69 pts

Long term

Maybe ownMaybe own

Stock

$30.67$22.21-27.6%

Added since last run

6
  • Significant correction already occurred, reducing extreme valuation levels.
  • Long-term secular tailwinds for GaN/SiC in AI and EV applications remain strong.
  • Price is below the daily 21 EMA, indicating short-term weakness.
  • Volume is contracting, suggesting a lack of conviction from buyers.
  • Current profitability is poor, with negative operating margins and earnings.
  • Shareholder dilution continues.

No longer flagged

0

Nothing dropped this run

Model's reflection on the prior call

The prior SELL call at $30.67 correctly anticipated a significant markdown, as the stock has since declined by 27.6%. The reasoning that the upward move was losing steam and showing signs of exhaustion near the top of its range proved accurate, validating the defensive stance.

Analysis timeline
5 runs

Jun 12, 2026

Latest

Updated Jun 12, 2026, 9:58 AM UTC

WeeklyWAIT
Long termWATCH
Confidence70% · Medium

Price at review

$22.21

After a substantial decline, the stock is showing signs of stabilizing above the weekly average, but remains below the daily average. While the immediate sharp markdown has eased, significant short-term bullish momentum is absent. It's prudent to observe for clearer signs of accumulation before considering a long position.

Jun 5, 2026

Updated Jun 5, 2026, 9:37 AM UTC

WeeklySELL
Long termWATCH
Confidence75% · High

Price at review

$30.67

The upward move is losing steam and showing signs of exhaustion as it nears the top of its range.

May 29, 2026

Updated May 29, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC

WeeklySELL
Long termWATCH
Confidence80% · High

Price at review

$28.51

The short-term trend is still moving up, but the current price is dangerously far from healthy support levels. Expect a sharp cooling-off period soon.

May 13, 2026

Updated May 13, 2026, 5:40 PM UTC

WeeklySELL
Long termWATCH
Confidence85% · High

Price at review

$21.50

The current pace of gains is statistically unsustainable. Selling into this extreme strength is a risk-management necessity despite the upward trend.

Jan 21, 1970

Updated Apr 27, 2026, 9:12 AM UTC

WeeklySELL
Confidence58% · Medium

Price at review

$17.28

NVTS has ripped 40% in five days and 91% in twenty days, far extended from both daily and weekly 21 EMAs with volume surging 182%. The sharp -6.65% intraday reversal from near 52-week highs on elevated volume suggests distribution may be beginning as early holders take profits into euphoric retail buying.